World cotton production is expected to rise 6.8 per cent with yields rebounding in several countries and area also rising, according to the first projections for 2019-20 season released by the US department of agriculture (USDA). In the US, cotton production is expected at 22.5 million bales, based on higher planted area and sharply lower abandonment.
The outlook for China shows imports, consumption, and production projected up, while stocks are expected to fall for the fifth consecutive year. “With the decline in China’s stocks, stocks outside of China are projected to increase significantly. As a result, the average A-Index and the season-average US farm price are expected to decline,” the Foreign Agricultural Service of USDA said in its ‘Cotton: World Markets and Trade’ March 2019 report.
World trade is projected to expand, bring it near the record levels seen in 2011-12 and 2012-13. Much of the increase is expected in China as smaller sales from the State Reserve reduce available domestic supply, meaning that higher imports will be needed to close the gap, the report said.Global consumption in 2019-20 is expected to continue growing, but at a rate slightly below its long-run average based on weaker global economic growth.
Meanwhile, for 2018-19 season, cotton production is forecast up slightly, led by larger crops in Brazil and Pakistan more than offsetting lower production in Australia. Trade is projected down slightly on lower imports for Indonesia and lower exports for Brazil. Global use is virtually unchanged. The US forecast is unchanged. The US season-average farm price is lowered 2 cents to 70 cents/lbs.
China's sustained efforts to lower the corporate burden will help stabilize employment, investment and growth expectations, said Bai Jingming, vice-president of the Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences.
Following colossal tax and fee cuts of around 1.3 trillion yuan ($194 billion) in 2018, China will reduce the tax burdens and social insurance contributions of enterprises by nearly 2 trillion yuan this year.
Small and micro companies, which provide the majority of jobs, would be the major target of such cuts in 2019, showing a clear pro-employment policy tendency, Bai told the People's Daily on Monday.
This year, China will reduce the current value-added tax rate of 16 percent for manufacturing and other industries to 13 percent, and lower the rate for such industries as transport and construction from 10 to 9 percent.
A universal tax cut will greatly ease the tax burden of companies in purchasing fixed assets like machinery equipment and save costs for equipment manufacturers, resulting in more room for investment, Bai said.
The massive corporate tax cuts this year showcased the central government's efforts to inject more energy into economic development and to make sure market entities receive benefits, which will help stabilize market expectations of the economy, according to Bai.
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Bai believes the move will unleash Chinese people's unlimited potentials in innovation and creation and boost the nation's high-quality development.
China's economy, the second largest in the world, expanded 6.6 percent to exceed 90 trillion yuan last year. The growth target for 2019 was set at 6-6.5 percent.
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China's overall economic situation improved in the Jan-Feb period, said Ning Jizhe, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, on Tuesday.
"From the beginning of the year, the Chinese economy has been stable and has shown improving momentum," Ning said during an interview in the so-called "minister's passage" at the annual meetings of the national legislature and the top political advisory body.
Ning said his remarks were based on current available economic data of the Jan-Feb period, while the NBS is still working on the comprehensive data, which will be released on Thursday as scheduled.
Specifically, the Jan-Feb period saw an overall steady expansion in production, consumption and trade, as well as stable price levels and employment, Ning said.
More positive signs have appeared in March, with daily volume of electricity sold by the country's major power supplier State Grid Corp going up 11 percent year-on-year from the beginning of March to Sunday, said Ning.
Market expectation has also brightened, as signaled by the stock market uptrend since the beginning of the year, Ning added.